File:Recent Sea Level Rise.png

From Global Warming Art



Temperature changes during a similar period and possibly responsible for causing the observed sea level rise.
Sea level variations over the last nine thousand years

This figure shows the change in annually averaged sea level at 23 geologically stable tide gauge sites with long-term records as selected by Douglas (1997). The thick dark line is a three-year moving average of the instrumental records. This data indicates a sea level rise of ~18.5 cm from 1900-2000. Because of the limited geographic coverage of these records, it is not obvious whether the apparent decadal fluctuations represent true variations in global sea level or merely variations across regions that are not resolved.

For comparison, the recent annually averaged satellite altimetry data [1] from TOPEX/Poseidon are shown in red. These data indicate a somewhat higher rate of increase than tide gauge data, however the source of this discrepancy is not obvious. It may represent systematic error in the satellite record and/or incomplete geographic sampling in the tide gauge record. The month to month scatter on the satellite measurements is roughly the thickness of the plotted red curve.

Much of recent sea level rise has been attributed to global warming.


Original data for this figure is from the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level [2] (PSMSL). Douglas (1997), defined the following criteria for selecting records from the PSMSL which were long, reliable, and avoided large vertical geologic changes:

  1. Each record should be at least 60 years in length
  2. Not be located at collisional plate boundaries
  3. At least 80% complete
  4. Show reasonable agreement at low frequencies with nearby gauges sampling the same water mass
  5. Not be located in regions subject to large post-glacial rebound

He subsequently identified 24 PSMSL records meeting all five of these criteria:

  1. Auckland, New Zealand, 1903-2000
  2. Balboa, Panama, 1908-1996
  3. Brest, France, 1807-2000
  4. Buenos Aires, Argentina, 1905-1987
  5. Cascais, Portugal, 1882-1993
  6. Cristobal, Panama, 1909-1980
  7. Dunedin, New Zealand, 1900-1998
  8. Fernandina, Florida, 1897-2003
  9. Genova, Italy, 1884-1997
  10. Honolulu, Hawaii, 1905-2003
  11. Key West, Florida, 1913-2003
  12. Lagos, Portugal, 1908-1999
  13. La Jolla, California, 1924-2003
  14. Lyttelton, New Zealand, 1924-2000
  15. Marseille, France, 1885-2000
  16. Newlyn, Cornwall, England, 1915-2003
  17. Pensacola, Florida, 1923-2003
  18. Quequen, Argentina, 1918-1982
  19. San Diego, California, 1906-2003
  20. San Francisco, California, 1854-2003
  21. Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Canary Islands, 1927-1990
  22. Santa Monica, California, 1933-2003
  23. Trieste, Italy, 1905-2001
  24. Wellington, New Zealand, 1901-1988

After slight corrections following Douglas (1997) for any remaining post-glacial rebound at these sites (typically ~3 cm/century), the tide gauge data from these sites were plotted in no particular order as the thin lines in the above figure. One site, Wellington, was omitted because the author of this figure was unable to locate the corresponding record from the PSMSL.


This figure was prepared from publicly available data by Robert A. Rohde.

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  • [abstract] [DOI] Bruce C. Douglas (1997). "Global Sea Rise: A Redetermination". Surveys in Geophysics 18: 279-292. 

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current18:38, 3 February 2007Thumbnail for version as of 18:38, 3 February 2007800×561 (80 KB)Robert A. Rohde (Talk | contribs)
00:06, 18 November 2005Thumbnail for version as of 00:06, 18 November 2005537×373 (47 KB)Robert A. Rohde (Talk | contribs)

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